(CHICAGO) — United Airlines flight attendants cannot legally strike under the Railway Labor Act, leaving contract talks in a holding pattern shaped by federal mediation, a 30-day cooling-off period, and ongoing negotiations as of January 2026.
Pressure tactics have intensified, including airport demonstrations and rallies outside the carrier’s Chicago headquarters on January 15–16, 2026. Even so, the law that governs airline labor disputes sets a slower, rule-bound path than most private-sector bargaining.
A walkout is not a matter of calling a strike vote and setting a date; instead, the process is governed by statutory steps that control when a strike can lawfully occur.
How the Railway Labor Act shapes the timeline
Airline unions and carriers bargain under the Railway Labor Act, which generally requires direct talks and then National Mediation Board involvement before workers can lawfully strike. The structure is designed to prevent sudden disruptions to interstate transportation.
That structure also means disputes can stretch on for long periods while both sides keep negotiating, with the NMB controlling the pace and determining when legal steps toward a strike may begin.
Role of the National Mediation Board (NMB)
Mediation is run by the National Mediation Board, often referred to as the NMB, which controls the pace and can keep parties at the table. Either side may ask for release, but the NMB typically decides if talks have truly reached impasse.
Until the NMB releases the parties, the legal steps toward a strike do not start. A 30-day cooling-off period comes only after an NMB release. During that window, workers still cannot lawfully strike, and management cannot impose certain self-help steps.
Without an NMB release, there is no lawful strike timeline, even amid public campaigns and escalating rhetoric.
Main points in bargaining and core disagreements
United Airlines and AFA-CWA are publicly far apart on what changes should accompany pay increases. Management has argued that several union demands would raise costs and reduce flexibility, while the union has said members need faster pay relief and has resisted tradeoffs tied to scheduling rules.
Nathan Lopp, United’s vice president of labor relations, described the union’s proposals in an internal memo as “unrealistic” and likely to create a competitive disadvantage. He pointed to multiple open items, including pay for airport “sit rigs,” reserve improvements, layover hotels, and health and retirement benefits.
At the center of the dispute is how compensation and scheduling fit together. United has signaled it wants “cost offsets” to fund economic gains. The union has sought immediate pay hikes while a full contract is negotiated and has objected to tying raises to concessions on scheduling systems.
United’s reserve-related proposal highlights the tradeoff. The company floated reducing the monthly reserve guarantee from 78 hours to 75 hours, paired with shortening Reserve Availability Periods to 12 hours. United has also discussed phasing out certain reserve overrides, with wage increases offered as the counterweight.
AFA-CWA has pushed back on exchanging scheduling protections for higher pay, arguing that fatigue, staffing levels, and predictability affect safety and quality of life. Those issues also affect operations: unreliable staffing and higher fatigue risk can drive sick calls, misconnects, and last-minute reassignments.
Summary of key issues (intro to interactive tool)
The following core issues and positions are central to negotiations. An interactive tool will present these items side by side and allow users to explore operational significance and bargaining tradeoffs in detail.
- Pay increases. United supports raises paired with cost offsets and rule changes; AFA-CWA seeks immediate pay hikes before a full contract. This has a direct labor-cost impact and influences retention and hiring.
- Reserve monthly guarantee. United proposed reducing the guarantee from 78 to 75 hours; AFA-CWA opposes reductions that cut pay predictability. This affects reserve coverage and monthly earnings stability.
- Reserve availability window (RAP). United proposed shortening RAPs to 12 hours; the union resists changes seen as trading protections for pay. This impacts scheduling flexibility and fatigue risk.
- Airport “sit rigs” pay. The company raised concerns about cost; the union wants improved pay for airport sit time. This influences willingness to cover irregular operations and standby time.
- Scheduling system tradeoffs. United has discussed trading scheduling rules for pay; AFA-CWA rejects certain scheduling tradeoffs that shape staffing efficiency and day-to-day reliability.
- Layover hotels. United framed changes as cost management; the union seeks better layover hotels. Rest quality affects fatigue and duty readiness.
- Health and retirement benefits. United cites competitiveness and cost discipline; AFA-CWA seeks benefit improvements with long-term workforce satisfaction impacts.
Bargaining context and public actions
Recent bargaining was shaped by a prior setback at the ballot box. Last summer, the Association of Flight Attendants-CWA said members rejected a tentative agreement with 71% voting no.
A rejection typically sends negotiators back to the table with sharpened demands and less room for quick compromises. Chicago became the focal point again in January 2026, when the sides returned for four days of bargaining.
Continued sessions can signal that neither party wants to be blamed for breaking off talks. Under the Railway Labor Act, sustained engagement also matters because the NMB weighs bargaining conduct when deciding whether to keep mediating.
Public actions have run alongside the formal process. AFA-CWA held rallies on January 15–16, 2026, outside United’s Chicago headquarters and staged demonstrations at airports, including A.B. Won Pat International. Such events typically aim to sway public opinion, increase internal pressure, and draw attention from policymakers and mediators, without changing the legal strike pathway.
Scale adds weight to every step. United employs about 25,000 flight attendants, and widespread disruption would ripple across a large network. That operational risk can push both sides to keep talking, even when positions harden.
Historical and procedural status as of January 2026
Compensation history has sharpened member expectations. By 2026, the dispute had reached a fifth year without raises for United’s flight attendants, according to union and company statements. That timeline can heighten frustration and make it harder for leadership to sell incremental gains.
United has argued that earlier proposals offered strong pay by industry standards but failed to win ratification. The union countered that the package did not meet member priorities on scheduling protections, reserve rules, and quality-of-life items.
As of January 2026, no NMB release from mediation has been reported. That single fact keeps the legal timeline open-ended. Under the Railway Labor Act, a strike becomes lawful only after the NMB releases the parties, the 30-day cooling-off period runs, and other procedural steps are met.
If talks progress, the most common path is a new tentative agreement, followed by a ratification vote among flight attendants. Another possibility is an offer of arbitration, which may occur when the NMB believes further mediation will not help.
Either side can decline arbitration, but the offer can shape public perceptions of reasonableness and influence bargaining momentum.
What travelers and affected parties should watch
Travelers watching the dispute should separate legal reality from public pressure. Rallies can be disruptive at the curb and in terminals, yet flights typically continue unless a separate operational issue intervenes.
Contingency planning by airlines may include staffing adjustments, customer messaging, and rebooking flexibility, but those measures do not, by themselves, signal that a strike is imminent.
⚠️ Clarify that no strike timeline is set until an NMB release occurs; timelines are open-ended as of January 2026.
✅ What affected United flight attendants and travelers should watch next under the RLA pathway (mediation status, potential TA, or arbitration) as of January 2026. Watch for any NMB statement about mediation status, a new tentative agreement announcement, or an arbitration offer; those milestones typically change leverage and expectations.
Where to get updates and sources
United customers seeking updates can monitor official advisories on https://www.united.com, while labor-process basics are available through federal references such as https://www.law.cornell.edu.
Any operational changes, if they occur, would usually be communicated through airline notifications and airport announcements rather than through protest activity alone.
This article discusses ongoing labor negotiations and does not provide legal advice. Readers should consult official sources for updates and individualized guidance.
YMYL: Information about labor relations and potential disruptions should be presented with care to avoid misinformation.
United Flight Attendants Barred from Strike by Railway Labor Act National Mediation Board Association of Flight Attendants-CWA
United Airlines and the AFA-CWA union are deadlocked over a new contract as of early 2026. Under the Railway Labor Act, workers cannot strike without federal permission. Key disputes include pay raises versus scheduling ‘cost offsets’ and reserve duty changes. While union members held rallies at United’s Chicago headquarters, the National Mediation Board still controls the bargaining pace, keeping both parties at the table for now.
