Executive Summary KEY FINDINGS
  • Policy vs. Reality: The Trump administration's $100,000 H-1B visa fee was designed to force domestic hiring, but has instead accelerated offshore migration of tech jobs to India and Latin America.
  • Silent Offshoring Wave: 30% of companies with recent layoffs explicitly replaced U.S. employees with workers abroad; 24% plan to continue this practice through 2025.
  • GCC Explosion: India now hosts 1,700+ Global Capability Centers employing 1.9 million professionals, projected to grow to 2,400 centers by 2030.
  • Nearshore Emergence: Brazil and Peru have become strategic alternatives for time-zone-aligned operations, with developers costing 70-80% less than U.S. counterparts.
  • Structural Shift: This is not a cyclical adjustment but a permanent restructuring of where American technology companies locate their workforce.

The United States technology sector is undergoing a structural metamorphosis of a magnitude not seen since the initial outsourcing boom of the early 2000s. The years 2024 and 2025 have become defined by a jarring paradox: aggressive "America First" labor protectionism juxtaposed against corporate acceleration of "Employment Anywhere" strategies that bypass the American workforce entirely.

The premise that restricting foreign labor entry would automatically necessitate domestic hiring has been tested and, according to the emerging data, largely falsified. Instead of backfilling positions with U.S. workers, American corporations are leveraging a mature, sophisticated global infrastructure to migrate roles to "nearshore" hubs in Latin America and to deepen "offshore" capabilities in India.

SECTION 01

The Macro-Economic Landscape of 2024–2025

The "Efficiency" Mandate and Workforce Contraction

To comprehend the labor shifts of 2025, one must first analyze the financial imperatives driving corporate behavior. The technology sector, having exited the zero-interest-rate policy (ZIRP) era, has been forced to pivot from a "growth at all costs" mentality to one of ruthless profitability. This transition precipitated a historic contraction in the U.S. workforce.

191K+
Tech Workers Laid Off
2023
95.6K
Tech Workers Laid Off
2024
126K+
Tech Workers Laid Off
2025 (Q1-Q3)
8,200+
Laid Off in Single Week
December 2025

These reductions were not uniform across the board; they disproportionately targeted roles previously considered "safe," including mid-level engineering, product management, and human resources. Companies like Amazon, Google, and Meta have engaged in successive rounds of restructuring, citing the need to reallocate resources toward capital-intensive investments in Artificial Intelligence.

Critical Finding
Scrutiny of hiring patterns reveals that "resource reallocation" is often a euphemism for "geographic reallocation." The prevailing narrative that companies are replacing workers with AI obscures a more immediate human-to-human displacement occurring across borders—what analysts term "Silent Offshoring."

The "Silent" Displacement Phenomenon

Unlike the publicized outsourcing deals of the past, this shift involves the quiet elimination of a role in a U.S. city and its recreation in a foreign jurisdiction, often facilitated by internal transfers or Employer of Record (EOR) arrangements.

TABLE 1: THE DISCONNECT — U.S. LAYOFFS VS. GLOBAL HIRING INTENT
METRIC DATA POINT IMPLICATION
U.S. Tech Layoffs (2025) ~126,101 workers High domestic contraction
U.S. Tech Layoffs (2024) ~95,667 workers Sustained trend of reduction
Companies Offshoring Roles 30% of firms with recent layoffs Direct displacement of U.S. labor
Planned Offshoring (2025) 24% of firms planning further replacement The trend is accelerating
H-1B Approvals (Top 7 Indian IT) Dropped by 70% since 2015 Traditional visa routes closing
SECTION 02

The Policy Shock: The 2025 H-1B Crackdown

The "America First" Revival

The return of Donald Trump to the presidency in 2025 marked a paradigm shift in high-skilled immigration policy. Viewing the H-1B program as a mechanism for wage suppression and worker displacement, the administration launched a "full-scale campaign" to dismantle the program's economic viability.

$100,000
New H-1B Visa Fee — A staggering increase from the previous fee structure which totaled under $5,000

Mechanism of the $100,000 Fee

The administration utilized Section 212(f) of the Immigration and Nationality Act, which grants the President broad authority to suspend the entry of aliens detrimental to the interests of the United States. By framing the fee as a condition of entry rather than a purely administrative processing fee, the administration sought to insulate the policy from immediate court injunctions.

POLICY INTENT

"America First" Objectives

  • Make foreign labor prohibitively expensive
  • Force companies to hire American workers
  • End "cheap labor substitution" via H-1B
  • Protect domestic tech wages
MARKET RESPONSE

Actual Corporate Behavior

  • Accelerated offshore hiring in India
  • Expanded nearshore operations in LATAM
  • Increased EOR platform adoption
  • Moved roles to the talent, not vice versa
WHITE HOUSE FACT SHEET

The "Train Your Replacement" Controversy

The administration cited one company that received over 5,000 H-1B approvals while laying off 16,000 U.S. workers. Another firm cut 1,000 American jobs while securing over 1,100 H-1B visas, with some American workers forced to train their foreign replacements under non-disclosure agreements.

KEY INSIGHT

Legal experts warned immediately that the exorbitant fee would "accelerate offshoring". If a company cannot bring the talent to the U.S. without paying a six-figure penalty, and the U.S. talent pool is perceived as too expensive or insufficient, the logical business decision is to move the role to the talent. This policy effectively placed a tariff on imported labor, but unlike physical goods, digital labor can be produced anywhere.

SECTION 03

The Great Migration: Destination India

The Evolution of the Global Capability Center (GCC)

India has historically been the engine room of global IT outsourcing, but the dynamic in 2025 differs significantly from the "Help Desk" era of the 2000s. The current trend is defined by the rise of the Global Capability Center (GCC)—a wholly-owned subsidiary of the U.S. parent company.

Unlike traditional outsourcing, where work is handed to a third-party vendor, a GCC allows U.S. firms to retain full control over intellectual property (IP), culture, and data security while leveraging India's cost advantages.

1,700+
GCCs in India
Late 2024
1.9M
Professionals
Employed
$64.6B
Revenue Generated
FY24
$110B
Projected Revenue
By 2030

Moving Up the Value Chain

The narrative that offshoring affects only low-skill jobs is obsolete. The 2025 wave involves the transfer of "core professional functions"—software development, financial forecasting, legal operations, and HR analytics are increasingly based in India.

THE "INDIA DISCOUNT"

Despite rising wages in tech hubs like Bangalore, the arbitrage remains compelling. A senior developer costing $150,000+ in the U.S. can be hired for $40,000–$60,000 in India—a cost saving that completely negates the $100,000 H-1B fee and then some.

2024
GCC Hiring Outpaces Traditional IT
For the second consecutive year, GCC hiring in India outpaced traditional IT services hiring, signaling a structural shift.
2025
"Mega GCC" Heads Emerge
Companies hire technical leads in India who manage global portfolios, decentralizing leadership away from U.S. headquarters.
2030 (Projected)
2,400 GCCs / 2.8M Employees
Projections suggest continued explosive growth with revenue reaching $110 billion.
SECTION 04

The Nearshore Revolution: Latin America

While India offers scale, Latin America offers "synchronicity." The 2025 labor market has seen a surge in "nearshoring" to countries like Peru, Brazil, and Colombia, driven by the need for real-time collaboration that India's time zone does not permit.

THE TIME ZONE IMPERATIVE

For agile software development teams, the 9 to 12-hour time difference with India is a significant friction point. LATAM countries, operating on Central (CST) or Eastern (EST) time, allow for simultaneous workdays. This enables "embedded" teams where remote engineers in Lima or São Paulo attend the same morning stand-ups as their counterparts in New York or Austin.

🇧🇷
Brazil
Strategic Giant
Developers 500,000+
Tech Companies 24,000+
Time Zone UTC-3
Avg. Sr. Dev Cost $31K–$55K
🇵🇪
Peru
Emerging Value Hub
Avg. Dev Salary $25,400
IT Growth by 2028 +$500M
Time Zone UTC-5
Cultural Affinity High
🇮🇳
India
Scale & Deep Talent
GCCs 1,700+
GCC Workforce 1.9M
Time Zone UTC+5:30
Avg. Sr. Dev Cost $35K–$60K

Brazil: The Strategic Giant

Brazil has aggressively positioned itself as the premier nearshore hub for the U.S. market. In 2025, the Brazilian government introduced the "ReData" regime (Special Tax Regime for Data Center Services), which suspends federal taxes on equipment and imports for data centers. The broader tax reform of 2025 simplified Brazil's notoriously complex tax code, introducing a dual VAT system that makes compliance easier for foreign entities.

Peru: The Emerging Value Hub

Peru offers significant cost advantages even over other LATAM neighbors. The average annual salary for a software developer in Peru is approximately $25,400, compared to the $84,000+ starting salary in the U.S. Global firms like Globant have established development centers in Lima, citing the high quality of talent from universities and government initiatives like "Innova Perú".

TABLE 2: COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF OFFSHORING DESTINATIONS (2025)
FEATURE UNITED STATES INDIA (GCC) BRAZIL PERU
Primary Advantage Innovation HQ / Market Scale / Deep Talent / Cost Time Zone / Market Size Cost Efficiency / Culture
Time Zone Domestic UTC+5:30 (Async) UTC-3 (Sync w/ US East) UTC-5 (Sync w/ US Central)
Avg. Sr. Dev Cost $150K – $220K $35K – $60K $31K – $55K $25K – $45K
Govt. Incentive None (Restrictive Fees) SEZ / PLI Schemes ReData / Tax Reform Innova Perú
Key Risk High Cost / Visa Uncertainty Time Zone / Attrition Bureaucracy (Improving) Political Volatility
SECTION 05

The Infrastructure of Displacement: Employer of Record

The rapid shift to global hiring in 2025 would not be possible without the technological infrastructure provided by Employer of Record (EOR) platforms. Companies like Deel, Remote.com, and Oyster have "SaaS-ified" international employment, removing the traditional barriers to entry for hiring abroad.

The "Visa-Free" Alternative

EOR platforms are explicitly marketing themselves as the antidote to the H-1B crisis. Their value proposition addresses the exact pain points created by the 2025 policies.

$599
Typical EOR
Monthly Fee
$100K
H-1B Visa
New Fee
Days
EOR Onboarding
Time
Months
H-1B Process
+ Lottery
MARKET DATA ON EOR ADOPTION

Deel's 2025 reports indicate a surge in hiring in LATAM and APAC that correlates with U.S. termination spikes. As U.S. contracts end, remote contracts in Argentina, India, and Toronto begin. Cities like Bangalore, Buenos Aires, and London have displaced San Francisco on lists of top cities for remote workers hired by U.S. companies.

"BORN GLOBAL" STARTUPS

The ease of use of EOR platforms means that even small startups, which previously would have fought for H-1B talent, are now "born global"—hiring their first engineers in Brazil or Peru to conserve capital. This represents a permanent shift in how American companies approach workforce planning.

SECTION 06

Corporate Case Studies: The Reality on the Ground

The aggregate data is supported by specific corporate actions observed in 2024 and 2025. These case studies illustrate the real-world application of the "Silent Offshoring" phenomenon across major technology and telecommunications companies.

CORPORATE WORKFORCE REALIGNMENT 2024–2025
COMPANY U.S. ACTION OFFSHORE EXPANSION NOTES
Google Core engineering layoffs Expanded Bangalore footprint Python dev roles moved to India
Amazon 27,000+ layoffs since 2022 Hyderabad expansion Largest engineering teams outside Seattle
Verizon 15,000 jobs cut 2024-25 Offshore partner expansion Mid-level managers & tech leads targeted
Various (Peru) Lima development centers Corezero, Liquid, Globant presence
Pattern Identified
A company may announce a layoff of 1,000 workers in February citing "macroeconomic headwinds," while simultaneously increasing its headcount in Bangalore or Lima by an equivalent number over the subsequent quarters. The disconnect between the public rationale (efficiency/AI) and the operational reality (offshoring) is a defining characteristic of the 2025 labor market.
SECTION 07

Analysis of the Policy Paradox

The Failure of 212(f) as a Protectionist Tool

The use of the Immigration and Nationality Act to impose the $100,000 fee was intended to be a "protectionist" measure. However, in the digital economy, protectionism via border control is inherently flawed.

FUNDAMENTAL FLAW

Digital Goods Have No Borders

Software code can be committed to a GitHub repository from Bangalore just as easily as from San Francisco. By taxing the presence of the worker (the visa fee), the U.S. government inadvertently subsidized the absence of the worker (offshoring). The result is a U.S. corporation that is headquartered in Delaware but operationally resident in Karnataka and São Paulo.

The Impact on the "American Dream"

The psychological impact of these policies on the immigrant workforce is profound. The "American Dream"—the idea of migrating to the U.S. to build a life—is being replaced by the "Global Nomad" reality.

LOSS OF RETENTION

Why Talent Stays Home

  • Decades-long green card backlogs
  • $100K visa fee barrier
  • H-1B lottery uncertainty
  • Layoff vulnerability
HOME MARKET APPEAL

Why Staying Home Works

  • U.S.-level salary (PPP adjusted)
  • Improved quality of life
  • No immigration uncertainty
  • Family & cultural ties preserved
BRAIN DRAIN REVERSAL

The U.S. is not just losing the jobs; it is losing the people. The next generation of innovators is being incentivized to build their companies in Bangalore or São Paulo rather than Silicon Valley. The policies designed to protect American workers may ultimately diminish America's competitive advantage in the global technology race.

SECTION 08

Conclusion: The Permanence of the Shift

The evidence from 2024 and 2025 supports the central premise: America is pushing to restrict H-1B employment under the guise of "America First," but the beneficiaries are not American workers—they are the engineers of Peru, Brazil, and India.

This is not a temporary cyclical adjustment. It is a structural decoupling. The combination of technological enablers (EORs, Zoom, Slack, Cloud Computing), economic imperatives (post-ZIRP efficiency, high U.S. wages), and policy barriers ($100K H-1B fee, bureaucratic hostility) has created a perfect storm that pushes work abroad.

FINAL ASSESSMENT

The New Architecture of American Tech

The "Quiet Offshoring" of 2025 is the rational market response to an irrational policy environment. By making it difficult to import labor, the U.S. has successfully exported the jobs.

The Global Capability Centers in India and the nearshore hubs in LATAM are not stopgaps; they are the new, permanent architecture of the American technology firm.

The "Year of Efficiency" has fundamentally rewired the geography of work, leaving the U.S. labor market more isolated and less competitive in the global race for talent.