Key Takeaways
• Project 2025 expands mass deportations, speeding removal and ending protections like TPS and DACA.
• California businesses risk closure as immigrants own 40% of small businesses and face increased deportation.
• USCIS delays prolong green card processing from under one month to over eight months in 2025.
As of July 2025, the landscape for small businesses in California and across the United States 🇺🇸 has changed dramatically due to intensified mass deportations. These changes stem from new federal immigration enforcement policies, especially those under the Trump administration’s Project 2025 agenda. The effects are far-reaching, touching not only undocumented immigrants but also lawful residents, U.S.-born workers, and entire communities. Here’s a detailed update on what has changed, who is affected, what actions are required, and what these developments mean for pending immigration applications and small business operations.
Summary of What Changed

The most significant change is the sharp increase in mass deportations, driven by Project 2025. This policy shift has expanded the scope and speed of deportation operations, rolled back protections for many immigrant groups, and removed important safeguards that previously shielded vulnerable populations. The result is a wave of uncertainty and disruption, especially for small businesses in California, where immigrants play a vital role in the economy.
Key Policy Changes and Enforcement Actions
- Expanded Expedited Removal: Deportations can now happen much faster, often without a court hearing. This means many immigrants have less time to seek legal help or appeal their cases.
- Elimination of Protections: Programs like Temporary Protected Status (TPS), Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA), and visas for victims of crime have been rolled back or ended. This puts hundreds of thousands of people at risk of losing their right to stay in the United States 🇺🇸.
- Sensitive Zone Protections Removed: Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) can now conduct raids in places like schools, hospitals, and churches, which were previously considered off-limits.
- Changes to Legal Immigration: The Diversity Visa Lottery has ended, and family-based immigration is being restricted. The system is shifting toward a merit-based approach, making it harder for many families to reunite.
- Termination of TPS for Certain Groups: In July 2025, the administration announced the end of TPS for over 70,000 Honduran and Nicaraguan immigrants, effective September 2025.
- Increased ICE Raids: There has been a noticeable rise in ICE raids, especially in cities led by Democratic officials, causing fear and instability in immigrant communities.
- USCIS Processing Delays: The U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS) has seen a surge in backlogs, with green card renewal and replacement wait times jumping from under a month to more than eight months in early 2025.
Who Is Affected
The impact of these changes is widespread:
- Undocumented Immigrants: Face the highest risk of deportation, with fewer legal protections and less time to respond to enforcement actions.
- small business owners: Many small businesses in California are owned by immigrants, including those who are undocumented. These owners and their employees are at risk, threatening the survival of their businesses.
- U.S.-Born Workers: Many American workers depend on jobs in industries that rely on immigrant labor. As immigrants are deported, these sectors face labor shortages, leading to job losses for U.S.-born workers as well.
- Entire Communities: Regions with large immigrant populations, such as the San Joaquin Valley, San Francisco Bay Area, Inland Empire, and Los Angeles, are experiencing economic and social disruption.
- Lawful Permanent Residents: Those waiting for green card renewals or replacements are stuck in legal limbo due to processing delays, making it hard to keep their jobs or run their businesses.
Effective Dates
- TPS Terminations: TPS for Honduran and Nicaraguan immigrants ends in September 2025.
- Project 2025 Policies: Most enforcement changes began in 2024 and have ramped up through 2025.
- USCIS Backlogs: Processing delays have been ongoing since early 2025, with no clear end in sight.
Required Actions for Affected Individuals and Businesses
If you are a small business owner, worker, or community member affected by these changes, here are some immediate steps to consider:
- Check Your Immigration Status: If you are undocumented or have a temporary status like TPS or DACA, consult with a qualified immigration attorney as soon as possible. Legal options may be limited, but timely advice is critical.
- Monitor USCIS Updates: If you are waiting for a green card renewal or replacement, regularly check the USCIS Case Status Online page for updates on your application.
- Prepare for Possible Raids: Employers and employees should know their rights during ICE raids. Resources are available from organizations like the National Immigration Law Center.
- Document Business Operations: Small business owners should keep thorough records of their business activities, employees, and compliance with labor laws. This can help in the event of audits or legal challenges.
- Seek Community Support: Local immigrant rights groups and legal aid organizations can provide guidance, support, and sometimes legal representation.
Implications for Pending Applications
- Green Card Renewals and Replacements: With processing times now exceeding eight months, many lawful permanent residents are unable to prove their status, which can lead to job loss or business closure. If your green card is expiring, file for renewal as early as possible using Form I-90.
- TPS and DACA Holders: Those with expiring protections should seek legal advice immediately. There may be limited options for appeals or alternative relief, but the window to act is short.
- Family-Based and Diversity Visas: With the end of the Diversity Visa Lottery and new restrictions on family-based immigration, many pending applications may be denied or delayed. Applicants should monitor official updates and consult with immigration professionals.
Economic and Small Business Impact
The economic fallout from mass deportations is severe, especially in California:
- Loss of Wages and Economic Activity: A recent study by the Bay Area Council Economic Institute and UC Merced found that deporting California’s undocumented residents would result in a $275 billion loss in wages and economic activity. This would also reduce tax revenues by $23 billion each year.
- Industry Disruption: Key industries like agriculture, hospitality, construction, and childcare rely heavily on immigrant labor. For example, 26% of construction workers and 33% of farm workers in California are undocumented. Removing these workers creates immediate labor shortages, driving up costs and slowing down projects.
- Small Business Ownership: Immigrants own about 40% of California’s small businesses, and nearly 11% are owned by undocumented immigrants. These businesses are essential for local economies, providing jobs, paying taxes, and offering services tailored to their communities.
- Labor Shortages: The construction industry is already short about 500,000 workers and could face a shortage of 1.3 million by 2030 if deportations continue. This threatens housing development and could push home prices even higher.
- National Job Losses: According to the Economic Policy Institute, mass deportations could lead to millions of job losses, including both immigrant and U.S.-born workers. In construction alone, the loss of 1.4 million immigrant workers could also cost 861,000 U.S.-born workers their jobs.
Practical Implications for Small Business Owners and Communities
- Business Closures: Many small businesses owned by immigrants are at risk of closing due to the loss of owners and workers. This disrupts supply chains, reduces the number of customers, and leaves commercial spaces empty.
- Tax Revenue Loss: The projected $23 billion annual loss in tax revenue means less funding for public services like schools, roads, and healthcare, which hurts everyone in the community.
- Community Disruption: Areas with large undocumented populations are seeing the most severe effects. Families are being separated, and local economies are shrinking as businesses close and workers disappear.
- Labor Market Effects: The loss of immigrant workers also hurts U.S.-born workers, as many jobs depend on the presence of a full workforce. When businesses can’t find enough workers, they may cut back or close, leading to more unemployment.
Expert Perspectives
- Abby Raisz, Bay Area Council Research Director: She stresses that undocumented workers are a key part of California’s economy. Removing them will make existing labor shortages worse, especially in construction and agriculture.
- George Carrillo, Hispanic Construction Council: He warns that the construction industry’s labor shortage will become much more serious without immigrant workers, threatening the state’s ability to build new homes and grow its economy.
- Critics and Supporters: Critics of Project 2025 say the policies hurt immigrant rights, increase racial profiling, and remove protections for vulnerable people. Supporters argue that these measures are needed for border security and to fix the immigration system.
Background and Historical Context
The United States 🇺🇸 has seen changing immigration enforcement over the past decade. The Trump administration (2017-2021) began strict deportation policies, which were relaxed somewhat under President Biden. However, since 2024, the Trump-led administration has brought back and expanded these tough measures. California, with its large immigrant population, has long benefited from immigrant labor and entrepreneurship. The current wave of mass deportations threatens decades of economic growth and community stability.
Future Outlook and Anticipated Developments
- Continued Enforcement: Project 2025 policies are expected to continue, with possible further expansions of expedited removal and more rollbacks of immigration relief programs.
- Legal Challenges: The economic damage may push state and local governments to challenge federal policies in court or create local protections for immigrants and small businesses.
- Calls for Reform: Advocacy groups and some lawmakers are pushing for comprehensive immigration reform to protect workers and stabilize the economy, but progress is uncertain.
- Ongoing Uncertainty: As enforcement actions continue, small businesses and immigrant communities will need to stay alert and adapt quickly to new developments.
Resources and Contacts
If you are affected by these changes, here are some resources:
- USCIS: For the latest updates on immigration forms, processing times, and policy changes.
- Bay Area Council Economic Institute: Provides detailed reports on the economic impact of immigration policies.
- California Health Care Foundation: Offers research on how immigrants contribute to the state’s economy and health systems.
- National Immigration Law Center: Offers legal help and information for immigrants facing deportation.
- American Civil Liberties Union (ACLU): Provides advocacy and legal support for immigrant rights.
Actionable Takeaways and Next Steps
- Stay Informed: Regularly check official government websites for updates on immigration policies and processing times.
- Consult Legal Experts: If you or your business is at risk, seek advice from a qualified immigration attorney or a trusted immigrant rights organization.
- File Early: If you need to renew your green card or other immigration documents, file as early as possible to avoid delays.
- Know Your Rights: Learn what to do if you or your employees are approached by ICE or other enforcement agencies.
- Support Your Community: Work with local organizations to provide support and resources for those affected by mass deportations.
As reported by VisaVerge.com, the current wave of mass deportations is having a devastating effect on small businesses, workers, and communities, especially in California. The situation is changing quickly, so staying informed and prepared is more important than ever. For more details on immigration forms and official updates, visit the USCIS website.
By understanding these changes and taking proactive steps, small business owners, workers, and community members can better protect themselves and their livelihoods during this challenging time.
Learn Today
Project 2025 → A federal immigration enforcement initiative expanding deportations under Trump’s administration starting in 2024.
TPS (Temporary Protected Status) → A program granting temporary legal status to immigrants from designated countries during crises.
DACA (Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals) → An immigration policy protecting certain undocumented youth from deportation and granting work permits.
Expedited Removal → A fast-track deportation process allowing removal of immigrants without court hearings.
USCIS (U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services) → The federal agency managing immigration benefits, including visas and green card processing.
This Article in a Nutshell
Mass deportations under Project 2025 threaten California’s immigrant-run small businesses, causing labor shortages and economic losses. Expedited removal and protections rollback destabilize communities. Green card processing delays compound these issues. Understanding and acting promptly is vital for affected workers, business owners, and residents, ensuring rights and economic survival amidst rapid policy changes.
— By VisaVerge.com