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USCIS

January 2026 Visa Bulletin Predictions, Analysis and Understanding

January 2026 Visa Bulletin predictions with detailed analysis of EB-2, EB-3, EB-1 priority dates for India & China, family-sponsored F1-F4 categories, and DV-2026 lottery cutoffs. Based on November-December 2025 movement patterns.

Last updated: December 17, 2025 3:19 pm
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January 2026 Visa Bulletin – Official Data – VisaVerge
OFFICIAL DATA VISA BULLETIN JANUARY 2026 DEC 02, 2025 12 MIN READ

January 2026 Visa Bulletin: Official Final Action Dates & Filing Charts

UPDATED FROM PREDICTIONS TO OFFICIAL DATA
This page now reflects the official January 2026 Visa Bulletin published by the U.S. Department of State on December 2, 2025. All dates shown are confirmed official data, not predictions.

Complete official data for Employment-Based (EB-1 to EB-5), Family-Sponsored (F1-F4), and Diversity Visa (DV-2026) categories from DOS Publication 9514, released December 2, 2025.

COMPILED BY
VisaVerge
OFFICIAL SOURCE
U.S. Dept. of State
January 2026 Visa Bulletin Predictions, Analysis and Understanding
OFFICIAL JAN 2026 DATA DOS PUB. 9514
FY2026 STATUTORY LIMITS

Annual Visa Allocation Numbers

FAMILY-SPONSORED
226,000
Per INA Section 201
EMPLOYMENT-BASED
140,000+
Minimum allocation
PER-COUNTRY LIMIT
7%
25,620 visas max
DIVERSITY VISA
~52,000
Reduced by NACARA/NDAA

Section 202 Per-Country Limit: 7% of combined family + employment preference visas = 25,620 visas per country. Dependent areas limited to 2% (7,320). Currently oversubscribed: China (mainland-born), India, Mexico, Philippines.

KEY HIGHLIGHTS – OFFICIAL DATA
JAN 2026 OFFICIAL
  • EB-1 India Major Advancement: Final Action jumped from 15MAR22 to 01FEB23 (+322 days / ~10.7 months forward) – significant progress!
  • EB-2 India Final Action: Advanced from 15MAY13 to 15JUL13 (+61 days). Current backlog ~12.4 years from January 2026.
  • EB-2 China Final Action: Advanced from 01JUN21 to 01SEP21 (+92 days / ~3 months forward). Stronger movement than predicted.
  • EB-3 India Final Action: Advanced from 22SEP13 to 15NOV13 (+54 days). Tracking ahead of EB-2 India by ~4 months.
  • EB-3 Other Workers China: Massive jump from 08DEC17 to 08DEC18 (+365 days / exactly 1 year forward).
  • EB-5 India Unreserved: Major advancement from 01JUL21 to 01MAY22 (+304 days / ~10 months forward).
  • Family F3 Philippines: Jumped from 01NOV04 to 22JUL06 (+628 days / ~1.7 years forward) – exceptional movement continues.
  • Family F4 Philippines: Retrogressed from 15JUL06 to 01MAR05 (-501 days / ~1.4 years backward).
  • DV-2026 Cutoffs (January): Africa 35,000, Asia 15,000 (Nepal 6,000), Europe 8,500. February cutoffs also announced.
  • EB-4 Religious Workers (SR) CRITICAL: Category expires January 30, 2026 (H.R. 5371). All applicants must be admitted into US by midnight January 29, 2026.

EB-2 Final Action Movement (Dec 2025 → Jan 2026)

🌍
REST OF WORLD
+59 days
01FEB24 → 01APR24
🇨🇳
CHINA
+92 days
01JUN21 → 01SEP21
🇮🇳
INDIA
+61 days
15MAY13 → 15JUL13
🇲🇽
MEXICO
+59 days
01FEB24 → 01APR24
🇵🇭
PHILIPPINES
+59 days
01FEB24 → 01APR24
EMPLOYMENT-BASED FINAL ACTION DATES
EMPLOYMENT-BASED PREFERENCES

Final Action Dates – January 2026

OFFICIAL DATA
EB-1: PRIORITY WORKERS
FIRST PREFERENCE | 28.6% of EB visas
Country Dec 2025 Jan 2026 (Official) Movement
All Chargeability Areas Current Current No Change
China-mainland born 22JAN23 01FEB23 +10 days
India 15MAR22 01FEB23 +322 days (~10.7 mo)
Mexico Current Current No Change
Philippines Current Current No Change
EB-1 includes: EB-1A (Extraordinary Ability), EB-1B (Outstanding Professors/Researchers), EB-1C (Multinational Managers/Executives). India saw exceptional advancement of nearly 11 months!
EB-2: ADVANCED DEGREE / EXCEPTIONAL ABILITY
SECOND PREFERENCE | 28.6% of EB visas
Country Dec 2025 Jan 2026 (Official) Movement
All Chargeability Areas 01FEB24 01APR24 +59 days
China-mainland born 01JUN21 01SEP21 +92 days (~3 mo)
India 15MAY13 15JUL13 +61 days
Mexico 01FEB24 01APR24 +59 days
Philippines 01FEB24 01APR24 +59 days
EB-2 includes: PERM Labor Certification route and National Interest Waiver (NIW). India backlog is approximately 12.4 years. China saw strong 3-month advancement.
EB-3: SKILLED WORKERS & PROFESSIONALS
THIRD PREFERENCE | 28.6% of EB visas
Country Dec 2025 Jan 2026 (Official) Movement
All Chargeability Areas 15APR23 22APR23 +7 days
China-mainland born 01APR21 01MAY21 +30 days
India 22SEP13 15NOV13 +54 days
Mexico 15APR23 22APR23 +7 days
Philippines 15APR23 22APR23 +7 days
EB-3: OTHER WORKERS (EW)
THIRD PREFERENCE – EW | Max 10,000/year (reduced by NACARA ~150 for FY2026)
Country Dec 2025 Jan 2026 (Official) Movement
All Chargeability Areas 01AUG21 01SEP21 +31 days
China-mainland born 08DEC17 08DEC18 +365 days (1 year!)
India 22SEP13 15NOV13 +54 days
Mexico 01AUG21 01SEP21 +31 days
Philippines 01AUG21 01SEP21 +31 days
Note: China Other Workers saw a remarkable 1-year advancement! For FY2026, NACARA reduction is limited to approximately 150 visas.
EB-4: CERTAIN SPECIAL IMMIGRANTS
FOURTH PREFERENCE | 7.1% of EB visas
Country Dec 2025 Jan 2026 (Official) Movement
All Countries 01SEP20 01JAN21 +122 days (~4 mo)
Certain Religious Workers (SR) 01SEP20 01JAN21 +122 days (~4 mo)
CRITICAL SR DEADLINE: Religious Workers category expires January 30, 2026 (H.R. 5371). No SR visas may be issued overseas, or final action taken on adjustment of status cases, after midnight January 29, 2026. All applicants must be admitted into the US by midnight January 29, 2026.
EB-5: IMMIGRANT INVESTORS
FIFTH PREFERENCE | 7.1% of EB visas
Category / Country Dec 2025 Jan 2026 (Official) Movement
Unreserved – All Chargeability Current Current No Change
Unreserved – China 15JUL16 15AUG16 +31 days
Unreserved – India 01JUL21 01MAY22 +304 days (~10 mo)
Unreserved – Mexico Current Current No Change
Unreserved – Philippines Current Current No Change
Set Aside: Rural (20%) Current Current All Countries
Set Aside: High Unemployment (10%) Current Current All Countries
Set Aside: Infrastructure (2%) Current Current All Countries
EB-5 Set-Asides (per RIA): 32% of EB-5 visas are reserved: 20% Rural, 10% High Unemployment, 2% Infrastructure. These remain Current for all countries including China. India Unreserved saw major 10-month advancement.
EMPLOYMENT-BASED DATES FOR FILING
EMPLOYMENT-BASED PREFERENCES

Dates for Filing Applications – January 2026

OFFICIAL DATA
IMPORTANT NOTE
USCIS determines monthly whether applicants can use the “Dates for Filing” chart instead of “Final Action Dates” for adjustment of status applications. Check www.uscis.gov/visabulletininfo each month for the applicable chart.
EB DATES FOR FILING – ALL CATEGORIES
FOR I-485 FILING ELIGIBILITY
Category Country Jan 2026 (Official)
EB-1 All Chargeability Current
China 01AUG23
India 01AUG23
EB-2 All Chargeability 15OCT24
China 01JAN22
India 01DEC13
Mexico / Philippines Current
EB-3 All Chargeability 01JUL23
China 01JAN22
India 15AUG14
Mexico / Philippines 15OCT24
Other Workers All Chargeability 01DEC21
China 01OCT19
India 15AUG14
Mexico / Philippines 01JUL23
EB-4 All Countries 15MAR21
Certain Religious Workers All Countries 15MAR21
EB-5 Unreserved All Chargeability / Mexico / Philippines Current
China 22AUG16
India 01MAY24
EB-5 Set-Asides Rural / High Unemployment / Infrastructure Current (All Countries)
FAMILY-SPONSORED FINAL ACTION DATES
FAMILY-SPONSORED PREFERENCES

Final Action Dates – January 2026

OFFICIAL DATA

FY2026 FAMILY-SPONSORED VISA ALLOCATION (226,000 TOTAL)

F1 – UNMARRIED CHILDREN
23,400
+ unused F4
F2 – SPOUSES/CHILDREN
114,200
F2A: 77% | F2B: 23%
F3 – MARRIED CHILDREN
23,400
+ unused F1/F2
F4 – SIBLINGS
65,000
+ unused F1-F3

F2A Special Rule: 75% of F2A numbers are exempt from per-country limits. For January, exempt dates are earlier than 01FEB23; subject to limit dates are 01FEB23-01FEB24 (except Mexico – all exempt).

F1: UNMARRIED SONS/DAUGHTERS OF U.S. CITIZENS
FIRST PREFERENCE | 23,400 visas/year
Country Dec 2025 Jan 2026 (Official) Movement
All Chargeability Areas 08NOV16 08NOV16 No Change
China-mainland born 08NOV16 08NOV16 No Change
India 08NOV16 08NOV16 No Change
Mexico 01MAR06 01SEP06 +184 days (~6 mo)
Philippines 22JAN13 01MAR13 +38 days
F2A: SPOUSES & CHILDREN OF PERMANENT RESIDENTS
SECOND PREFERENCE | 77% of F2 (75% exempt from per-country limit)
Country Dec 2025 Jan 2026 (Official) Movement
All Chargeability Areas 01FEB24 01FEB24 No Change
China-mainland born 01FEB24 01FEB24 No Change
India 01FEB24 01FEB24 No Change
Mexico 01FEB23 01FEB23 No Change
Philippines 01FEB24 01FEB24 No Change
F2A Exempt/Subject Notes: Numbers EXEMPT from per-country limit authorized for priority dates earlier than 01FEB23. Numbers SUBJECT to per-country limit for dates 01FEB23 to 01FEB24 (except Mexico – all exempt).
F2B: UNMARRIED ADULT SONS/DAUGHTERS OF PERM. RESIDENTS
SECOND PREFERENCE | 23% of F2
Country Dec 2025 Jan 2026 (Official) Movement
All Chargeability Areas 01DEC16 01DEC16 No Change
China-mainland born 01DEC16 01DEC16 No Change
India 01DEC16 01DEC16 No Change
Mexico 15MAY08 15NOV08 +184 days (~6 mo)
Philippines 08OCT12 22DEC12 +75 days
F3: MARRIED SONS/DAUGHTERS OF U.S. CITIZENS
THIRD PREFERENCE | 23,400 visas/year
Country Dec 2025 Jan 2026 (Official) Movement
All Chargeability Areas 08SEP11 08SEP11 No Change
China-mainland born 08SEP11 08SEP11 No Change
India 08SEP11 08SEP11 No Change
Mexico 01MAY01 01MAY01 No Change
Philippines 01NOV04 22JUL06 +628 days (~1.7 yrs)
F3 Note: Philippines showed exceptional movement of nearly 1.7 years forward! Mexico has an extremely long backlog (~24 years from 2001).
F4: BROTHERS/SISTERS OF ADULT U.S. CITIZENS
FOURTH PREFERENCE | 65,000 visas/year
Country Dec 2025 Jan 2026 (Official) Movement
All Chargeability Areas 08JAN08 08JAN08 No Change
China-mainland born 08JAN08 08JAN08 No Change
India 01NOV06 01NOV06 No Change
Mexico 08APR01 08APR01 No Change
Philippines 15JUL06 01MAR05 -501 days (~1.4 yrs)
RETROGRESSION ALERT: F4 Philippines retrogressed approximately 1.4 years backward (15JUL06 → 01MAR05). Mexico backlog exceeds 24 years (priority date still at April 2001).
FAMILY-SPONSORED DATES FOR FILING
FAMILY-SPONSORED PREFERENCES

Dates for Filing Applications – January 2026

OFFICIAL DATA
FAMILY-SPONSORED DATES FOR FILING – ALL CATEGORIES
FOR I-485 FILING ELIGIBILITY
Category All Chargeability China India Mexico Philippines
F1 01SEP17 01SEP17 01SEP17 01SEP07 22APR15
F2A 22DEC25 22DEC25 22DEC25 22DEC25 22DEC25
F2B 15MAR17 15MAR17 15MAR17 15NOV09 01OCT13
F3 22JUL12 22JUL12 22JUL12 01JUL01 15JAN08
F4 01MAR09 01FEB06 01MAR09 30APR01 15DEC06
Note: F2A has remarkably current filing dates (22DEC25) for all countries – excellent for those seeking to file I-485 adjustment applications.
DIVERSITY VISA (DV-2026) LOTTERY CUTOFFS
DIVERSITY VISA PROGRAM

DV-2026 January & February Cutoffs (Official)

OFFICIAL DATA

The January 2026 bulletin includes both January and February DV cutoff numbers. DV-2026 annual limit is approximately 52,000 visas (reduced from 55,000 by NACARA ~150 and NDAA provisions). Numbers below are case numbers – applicants with rank numbers below these cutoffs may schedule interviews.

January 2026 DV Cutoffs

AFRICA
35,000

Except: Algeria: 20,000 | Egypt: 16,000

ASIA
15,000

Except: Nepal: 6,000

EUROPE
8,500

No country-specific limits

NORTH AMERICA (BAHAMAS)
20

Only Bahamas eligible from NA

OCEANIA
1,100

Low demand region

SOUTH AMERICA & CARIBBEAN
1,850

Low demand region

February 2026 DV Cutoffs (Also Announced)

AFRICA
45,000
+10,000 from Jan

Except: Algeria: 37,000 | Egypt: 21,000

ASIA
30,000
+15,000 from Jan

Except: Nepal: 6,500

EUROPE
11,000
+2,500 from Jan

No country-specific limits

NORTH AMERICA (BAHAMAS)
25
+5 from Jan

Only Bahamas eligible from NA

OCEANIA
1,175
+75 from Jan

Low demand region

SOUTH AMERICA & CARIBBEAN
2,000
+150 from Jan

Low demand region

DV-2026 DEADLINE REMINDER
Entitlement to DV-2026 status ends September 30, 2026. All selectees must complete visa issuance or adjustment of status by this date. DV availability could be exhausted before September 30 – act quickly if your number becomes current. Numbers cannot be taken for granted.

DV-2026 Program Information

Annual Limit: Approximately 52,000 visas (55,000 statutory minus ~150 NACARA adjustments minus NDAA reductions per Section 5104).

Ineligible countries for DV-2026: Bangladesh, Brazil, Canada, China (including Hong Kong SAR), Colombia, Cuba, Dominican Republic, El Salvador, Haiti, Honduras, India, Jamaica, Mexico, Nigeria, Pakistan, Philippines, South Korea, Venezuela, Vietnam

KEY OBSERVATIONS

January 2026 Notable Movements

🇮🇳
India – Employment-Based FINAL ACTION DATES TRENDS
EB-1
01FEB23
+322 days (~10.7 mo)
EB-2
15JUL13
+61 days (~2 mo)
EB-3
15NOV13
+54 days
EB-5 UNRES.
01MAY22
+304 days (~10 mo)

KEY METRICS

~12.4 yrs
EB-2 backlog
~12 yrs
EB-3 backlog
~2.9 yrs
EB-1 backlog
Strong
Movement pattern
🇨🇳
China – Employment-Based FINAL ACTION DATES TRENDS
EB-1
01FEB23
+10 days
EB-2
01SEP21
+92 days (~3 mo)
EB-3
01MAY21
+30 days
EW (Other)
08DEC18
+365 days (1 yr!)

KEY METRICS

~4.3 yrs
EB-2 backlog
~4.7 yrs
EB-3 backlog
~2.9 yrs
EB-1 backlog
Very Strong
EW movement
ACTIONABLE GUIDANCE

Recommendations by Category

EB-2/EB-3 INDIA: PD 2013-2014

Action Required Now

  • Your date is current or approaching. Ensure I-140 is approved and not revoked.
  • Complete medical exam (I-693) – valid for 2 years from physician signature.
  • Gather all civil documents (birth certificates, police clearances, etc.)
  • EB-2 India at 15JUL13, EB-3 India at 15NOV13 – both advancing ~2 months/month.
EB-1 INDIA: PD 2022-2023

Great Progress!

  • EB-1 India jumped nearly 11 months (to 01FEB23) – excellent news!
  • If your PD is before February 2023, prepare for I-485 filing.
  • EB-1A, EB-1B, and EB-1C applicants should prepare documents now.
  • Consider premium processing for pending I-140s if available.
EB-4 RELIGIOUS WORKERS

Critical Deadline!

  • URGENT: SR category expires January 30, 2026.
  • Must be ADMITTED into US by midnight January 29, 2026.
  • Final Action date at 01JAN21 – schedule interviews immediately.
  • No extensions announced – act NOW if eligible.
OFFICIAL SOURCE

Data Source & Disclaimer

Official Source
Publication Visa Bulletin Number 10, Volume XI
Issuing Agency U.S. Department of State
Publication ID DOS Publication 9514
Release Date CA/VO: December 2, 2025
Effective Period January 2026
Official Links
Visa Bulletin travel.state.gov
USCIS Filing Info uscis.gov/visabulletininfo
Filing Chart Selection Check USCIS monthly
Demand Data Received by December 2, 2025
IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER
This page presents official data from the U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin for informational purposes only. While we strive for accuracy, always verify information directly with the official DOS Visa Bulletin and USCIS. Immigration laws and policies can change. Always consult with a qualified immigration attorney for advice specific to your situation. VisaVerge is not affiliated with USCIS or the U.S. Department of State.
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