Immigrant workers across the United States 🇺🇸 are heading into year-end with a familiar question: how much federal income tax should they pay now to avoid a surprise bill later?
The IRS runs a pay-as-you-go system, meaning people must pay tax during the year as they earn income—mainly through two channels: withholding from pay and estimated tax for income that isn’t subject to withholding. The choice matters. Paying too little during the year can bring penalties and interest, even if a refund is due at filing time.

According to analysis by VisaVerge.com, newcomers tend to be hit hardest by these rules because U.S. payroll and quarterly payment schedules differ from systems many migrants knew before they arrived.
Policy basics: withholding versus estimated tax
With withholding, an employer or payer takes federal income tax from each paycheck or periodic payment and sends it to the IRS for you.
- Employees tell their employer how much to withhold by filing Form W-4—the Employee’s Withholding Certificate.
- The current
Form W-4
no longer uses “allowances.” Instead, it asks for information such as filing status, other income, deductions, and any extra amount you want withheld. - You can submit a new
Form W-4
any time to adjust your withholding after life changes (marriage, second job, large investment income).
The IRS explains the pay-as-you-go system in detail in Publication 505:
– About Publication 505: https://www.irs.gov/forms-pubs/about-publication-505
Some non-wage payments also allow withholding:
– Pensions and annuities (including commercial annuities) use Form W-4P
—the Withholding Certificate for Pension or Annuity Payments.
– Form W-4P
lets you choose withholding, opt out, or add extra withholding.
– The payer does not send Form W-4P
to the IRS unless the IRS asks in writing.
– Withholding may also apply to bonuses, commissions, and gambling winnings.
Official pages:
– Form W-4
: https://www.irs.gov/forms-pubs/about-form-w-4
– Form W-4P
: https://www.irs.gov/forms-pubs/about-form-w-4p
Estimated tax — who must pay and when
Income usually not covered by withholding—dividends, interest, capital gains, rent, royalties, and self-employment—falls under the estimated tax system.
You’re generally required to make quarterly estimated payments if:
– You expect to owe at least $1,000 in tax for the year after subtracting withholding and credits, and
– Your withholding and credits are less than the smaller of:
1. 90% of this year’s tax, or
2. 100% of last year’s tax (or 110% if your adjusted gross income was more than $150,000)
Individuals make these payments using Form 1040-ES
:
– Form 1040-ES
: https://www.irs.gov/forms-pubs/about-form-1040-es
Example of the prior-year safe harbor:
– Jason earns $130,000 and his tax for the current year is $10,000 (double the prior year).
– He can avoid a penalty if his combined payments are at least $5,000 (100% of last year’s tax).
Deadlines, penalties, and waiver options
Estimated tax due dates (fixed by period):
1. Income Jan. 1–Mar. 31: due April 15
2. Income Apr. 1–May 31: due June 15
3. Income Jun. 1–Aug. 31: due September 15
4. Income Sep. 1–Dec. 31: due January 15 of the next year
- If a due date falls on a weekend or legal holiday, it moves to the next business day.
- Key exception: the January 15 payment is not required if you file
Form 1040
and pay the full tax you owe by January 31.
Real-world timing examples:
– Janet made no estimated tax payments in 20X1. She files and pays the balance on January 26, 20X2. Her fourth-period payment is considered on time, but she may owe penalties for missing the first three periods. Any penalty will be calculated up to January 26, 20X2.
– Margaret sold an investment property in July and estimates owing $25,000. Because she had no tax liability the prior year, she isn’t required to make estimated payments for that year under IRS rules; her first payment (if required) would be due by September 15.
The IRS may charge a penalty even when you get a refund—what matters is whether you paid enough tax during the year by each period’s deadline. Non-business taxpayers send quarterly amounts using Form 1040-ES
vouchers or electronic payments. If you fall short, penalties are based on how much you underpaid and when you paid.
Waiver paths for penalties
You can request that the IRS waive the penalty via two paths:
– Complete waiver: Ask the IRS to calculate the penalty for you.
– Partial waiver: You calculate the penalty using Form 2210
and attach it to your return.
- Whether seeking a full or partial waiver, file your return on time and pay as much as you can to limit extra charges.
Form 2210
: https://www.irs.gov/forms-pubs/about-form-2210
Practical planning tips for newcomers, families, and retirees
The difference between withholding and estimated tax often turns on how income arrives:
- Wage earners in sponsored roles typically rely on payroll withholding and a correctly completed
Form W-4
. - Contractors, rideshare drivers, small business owners, and investors need to plan for estimated payments, sometimes starting midyear.
- Mixed households (one spouse on payroll, the other self-employed) can:
- Increase withholding on the wage earner’s
Form W-4
to cover both spouses’ tax, or - Make quarterly estimated tax payments for the self-employed side.
- Increase withholding on the wage earner’s
Practical steps:
– Review your Form W-4
after major changes—new job, second job, marriage, or a year with large investment gains—so your withholding matches your situation.
– Form W-4
: https://www.irs.gov/forms-pubs/about-form-w-4
– If you receive a pension or annuity, use Form W-4P
to set withholding or opt out; be aware that opting out may require quarterly estimated tax payments.
– Form W-4P
: https://www.irs.gov/forms-pubs/about-form-w-4p
– Mark the four standard quarterly due dates on your calendar. If you plan to file and pay the full balance by January 31, you can skip the January 15 estimated payment.
– Use the safe harbors to reduce penalty risk:
– Pay at least 90% of this year’s tax, or
– 100% of last year’s tax (110% if AGI > $150,000).
– Keep records of payments and IRS confirmations—penalties depend on timing, so proof of dates matters.
Additional clarifications from current IRS practice
- The
Form W-4
design changed in recent years to gather simple, actionable data (filing status, adjustments, deductions, extra amounts) instead of the old “allowances.” - Pensioners and annuitants may choose no withholding on
Form W-4P
, but that does not eliminate the tax bill—estimated tax may still be required. - The payer does not send
Form W-4P
to the IRS unless there’s a written request from the agency.
No matter your visa type or long-term plan, U.S. tax law follows you while you live and work here. The system is designed so the IRS receives tax steadily, not just at filing time. That’s why penalties can apply even if you receive a refund at year-end.
Where to find the official rules and forms
For authoritative rules, examples, and worksheets that help you choose between more withholding or higher quarterly estimated tax, consult Publication 505:
– About Publication 505: https://www.irs.gov/forms-pubs/about-publication-505
Key form pages to set or adjust payments:
– Employee withholding choices: Form W-4
— https://www.irs.gov/forms-pubs/about-form-w-4
– Pension and annuity elections: Form W-4P
— https://www.irs.gov/forms-pubs/about-form-w-4p
– Quarterly payments for individuals: Form 1040-ES
— https://www.irs.gov/forms-pubs/about-form-1040-es
– Penalty calculations and waivers: Form 2210
— https://www.irs.gov/forms-pubs/about-form-2210
The core message remains steady: pay during the year, by the set dates, and in the right amounts. If your taxes come mainly from wages, keep your Form W-4
current. If you earn from dividends, interest, capital gains, rent, royalties, or self-employment, plan for quarterly estimated tax. If you do both, use either route—or both—to stay on track and avoid surprises at filing time.
This Article in a Nutshell
U.S. taxpayers, including many immigrants, must follow the IRS pay-as-you-go system by paying federal income tax throughout the year via withholding or estimated tax. Employees use Form W-4 to set payroll withholding; pensioners use Form W-4P. Non-wage income—dividends, interest, capital gains, rent, royalties, and self-employment—typically requires quarterly estimated payments with Form 1040-ES, due Apr 15, Jun 15, Sep 15, and Jan 15 (with a Jan 31 exception if filing and paying by then). To avoid penalties, use safe-harbors: pay at least 90% of current-year tax or 100% of last year’s tax (110% if AGI exceeds $150,000). Newcomers should review withholding after major life changes, keep payment records, and consider increasing payroll withholding to cover mixed household liabilities.