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Green Card

Green Card Slowdown May Cut Immigration After H-1B Selection Reform

The U.S. is implementing restrictive shifts in legal immigration, including H-1B reform and visa pauses, potentially reducing green card issuance by half. Applicants face longer wait times and higher evidentiary standards. This guide provides a strategic framework for family and employment-based applicants to identify pathways, audit risks, and build robust documentation packets to navigate administrative holds and avoid preventable case rejections during this period of heightened scrutiny.

Last updated: February 1, 2026 5:06 pm
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Key Takeaways
→New policies may cut legal immigration by 50% through systemic adjudication slowdowns and pauses.
→Major changes include weighted H-1B selection and significantly higher petition fees for employers.
→Applicants should audit eligibility and document paths to prevent rejections or administrative holds.

This guide explains how to respond, step by step, when legal-immigration processing tightens—including slower green card adjudications, paused visa issuance, higher evidentiary demands, and new cost barriers for employers. It is written for three groups: (1) family-based applicants pursuing immigrant visas or adjustment of status, (2) employment-based applicants and U.S. employers, including H-1B and PERM-based pathways, and (3) refugees/parolees facing re-review initiatives.

The National Foundation for American Policy has projected a multi-year Green Card Slowdown that could reduce legal immigration by roughly 33% to 50% over four years. In practice, a slowdown often means fewer approvals, longer queues, more requests for evidence (RFEs), more administrative processing, and more cases placed in holds pending extra screening or policy review.

Green Card Slowdown May Cut Immigration After H-1B Selection Reform
Green Card Slowdown May Cut Immigration After H-1B Selection Reform

A key theme in the current policy direction is that it is not limited to interior or border enforcement. It also constricts legal pathways through selection changes, pauses, re-review programs, and cost increases that may deter filings. This article provides: (1) a short official timeline, (2) what the changes mean operationally, (3) a numbered process for applicants and sponsors, and (4) where to verify updates using official sources.

Warning

If you are in removal proceedings or have arrests, prior immigration violations, or suspected fraud issues, do not file or travel based on general guidance. Speak to counsel first.

2) Official Actions and Timeline (what happened, and why it matters)

Several dated actions help explain why more applicants are reporting delays or pauses. The following items summarize key administrative and judicial steps that have practical effects on filing, vetting, and adjudication timelines.

  • September 2025: A presidential proclamation imposed a large per–H-1B petition fee. That kind of cost can change employer filing behavior quickly.
  • December 23, 2025: USCIS announced H-1B Selection Reform, shifting from a random lottery to a weighted selection. That may advantage higher-paid or more highly skilled registrants, and disadvantage others.
  • January 1, 2026: Expanded travel restrictions were reported for additional countries. Travel bans often affect visa issuance and entry screening.
  • January 2, 2026: USCIS issued a memo pausing pending applications linked to additional countries deemed high-risk. “Pending” can include cases awaiting interviews, biometrics, or final review.
  • January 9, 2026: DHS launched Operation PARRIS in Minnesota to re-review certain refugee cases. Re-review initiatives can trigger reopenings, interviews, arrests, detention, or litigation.
  • January 20, 2026: DHS released a one-year progress report emphasizing enforcement metrics. These messages can influence agency priorities and resource allocation.
  • January 21, 2026: The State Department suspended immigrant visa issuance for certain countries to reassess public-charge related concerns. A “pause” may stop interviews, issuances, or both.
  • January 28, 2026: A federal judge issued a temporary restraining order affecting Operation PARRIS. Litigation can lead to abrupt pauses, reinstatements, or uneven outcomes by jurisdiction.

The common practical thread is uncertainty. When agencies re-prioritize vetting or adopt new selection and screening rules, cases may be delayed even when the law has not changed.

→ Analyst Note
If your case could be affected by a pause or re-review, assemble a single PDF packet with your receipt notices, prior approvals, biographic pages, and a dated case timeline. When agencies reopen or scrutinize files, fast, consistent documentation reduces avoidable delays.

3) Key Facts, Statistics, and Policy Details (what the figures mean in practice)

Immigrant visa “pause.” When the State Department pauses immigrant visa issuance, families and employers abroad can be stuck after document qualification. Cases may move into “refused” status for administrative processing under INA § 221(g), even without a final denial.

Refugee cap reduction. A sharply lower refugee ceiling can reduce overseas processing capacity and slow family-reunification expectations. It can also shift adjudications toward heightened fraud screening.

Expanded travel bans. Travel restrictions typically affect (1) visa issuance, (2) admission at a port of entry, and (3) waiver or exception criteria. Waivers are often discretionary and document-heavy.

Net migration estimates. Reports of negative net migration can shape policy rhetoric and agency posture. It can also change employer demand and congressional pressure on visa programs.

H-1B fee policy. The reported per-petition H-1B fee is $100,000. Even when legally contested, a large new cost may prompt employers to reduce filings, delay start dates, or avoid sponsorship.

Warning

Do not assume a “pause” equals a denial. Many pauses are procedural. Still, missed deadlines can convert a pause into a failure to prosecute.

→ Important Notice
Avoid booking nonrefundable travel or quitting a job based on verbal assurances that a visa will be issued soon. During pauses, expanded screening, or travel ban changes, cases can be held without clear timelines, and consulates may not provide advance notice of rescheduling.

4) Context and Significance (how changes can happen quickly)

Restricting legal pathways often complements enforcement. Enforcement focuses on removal, detention, and border processing. Legal-pathway restrictions can reduce approvals and entries without new criminal enforcement actions.

On process, visa-related actions sometimes rely on the Foreign Affairs Function concept to move faster than typical notice-and-comment rulemaking under the Administrative Procedure Act. That can compress timelines for stakeholders to respond.

Finally, “self-sufficiency” framing tends to raise the practical burden of proof. Even where formal “public charge” rules are in flux, adjudicators may ask for more financial documentation. In family cases, that often means detailed Form I-864 evidence. In employment cases, it can mean closer scrutiny of the job offer and ability to pay.

Official sources to verify immigration actions and processing changes
  • USCIS Newsroom (official announcements and policy updates)
  • U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS) press releases
  • White House Presidential Actions (proclamations, executive actions)
  • U.S. Department of State (Travel.State.Gov) + Visa Bulletin
  • Federal Register (published rules/notices where applicable)
→ Note
When a policy announcement affects your case, save a PDF of the official posting and note the date/time you accessed it. If guidance changes later, having the contemporaneous version can help your lawyer or employer document reliance and craft an accurate response.

A longstanding evidence principle remains relevant: the applicant bears the burden of proof, and unsupported assertions are weak evidence. See Matter of Ho, 19 I&N Dec. 582 (BIA 1988).

5) Impact on Affected Individuals (how it plays out on the ground)

Family-based cases (consular processing). If immigrant visa issuance is paused, spouses and children may face prolonged separation. Medical exams and police certificates can expire.

Interview scheduling can become unpredictable, especially if posts reduce capacity. Delays in one step often cascade to others, creating logistical and emotional strain for families.

Litigation effects (TRO example). When a TRO blocks an initiative like a refugee re-review program, some affected people may receive temporary relief. Others may still face scrutiny, depending on the order’s scope and later appeals.

Outcomes can vary by district and circuit, producing uneven results across jurisdictions and complicating case planning.

Employers and workers. A steep filing cost and selection changes can disrupt recruitment cycles. Employers may shift start dates, reconsider sponsorship, or move work abroad.

Workers may need bridge strategies, such as extensions, changes of status, or consular options.

Warning

Deadline: If you receive an RFE or NOID, the response window is strict. Late responses are commonly treated as abandonment. Track deadlines and delivery proof.

6) The Step-by-Step Process: How to protect your case during a slowdown

1) Identify your pathway and where your case sits

Family: I-130 → NVC/DS-260 → consular interview, or I-485 adjustment in the U.S. Gather receipt notices, NVC case number, interview notices, prior approvals, and passports.

Employment: PERM → I-140 → DS-260 or I-485; or nonimmigrant bridge like H-1B (I-129). Keep documentation of receipt notices and prior approvals.

2) Verify the current rule and whether it is binding

Check whether the change is a proclamation, Federal Register rule, or official agency guidance. Press statements can signal priorities, but may not be legally binding.

3) Audit eligibility and inadmissibility risks before you trigger review

Key flags include unlawful presence (INA § 212(a)(9)), misrepresentation (INA § 212(a)(6)(C)(i)), and criminal grounds (INA § 212(a)(2)). Collect a full I-94 history, prior DS-160/DS-260 copies, court dispositions, and FOIA records if needed.

4) Build a “delay-proof” documentation packet

  • Family cases: Form I-864 with tax transcripts, W-2/1099s, pay stubs, and domicile proof.
  • Employment cases: job offer letter, SOC code alignment, ability-to-pay evidence, and maintained status proof.

Why: slowdowns often increase RFEs and 221(g) holds.

5) Choose the correct filing posture (and avoid preventable rejections)

Adjustment (I-485): include I-485, I-765, I-131 when appropriate, medical exam per current rules, and correct fees.

H-1B: use I-129, LCA compliance, and evaluate cap/registration impacts under H-1B Selection Reform. The decision between consular processing and adjustment can change travel risk and timing.

6) Manage travel carefully

If you have a pending I-485, travel usually requires advance parole (Form I-131), unless you maintain certain nonimmigrant statuses. CBP entry remains discretionary even with a visa.

7) Prepare for holds, extra screening, or re-review

If you are from a country affected by pauses, expect longer security checks and more document requests. Keep documents current and anticipate re-medicals or updated police certificates.

8) Respond correctly to adverse action

  • USCIS denials may allow motions (Form I-290B) in some contexts.
  • Consular refusals under INA § 221(g) are often procedural, but require careful follow-up.

Decision point: whether to litigate, refile, or pursue an alternate classification.

Warning

Do not “paper over” inconsistencies. Conflicting addresses, dates, or job duties can trigger fraud findings and long-term consequences.

9) Get counsel for complex situations

Seek an immigration attorney if you face a pause, a travel restriction, removal risk, a criminal record, prior denials, or employer compliance concerns. Employer-side planning may also require coordinated immigration and labor counsel.

Official Government Sources and Where to Verify (a practical workflow)

Use these official channels and save PDFs or screenshots for your records. Start with agency pages and then confirm the legal form of the action (proclamation, Federal Register rule, formal guidance).

  • USCIS Newsroom (https://www.uscis.gov/newsroom)

Verification workflow:

  1. Check the agency page first (USCIS/DHS/DOS/White House).
  2. Confirm the legal form—whether it is a proclamation, executive action, Federal Register item, or formal guidance.
  3. Monitor case-specific tools: USCIS case status, consulate pages, and the Visa Bulletin category movement.

Resources:

  • USCIS Newsroom
  • AILA Lawyer Referral
Note

⚖️ Legal Disclaimer: This article provides general information about immigration law and is not legal advice. Immigration cases are highly fact-specific, and laws vary by jurisdiction. Consult a qualified immigration attorney for advice about your specific situation.

Learn Today
INA § 221(g)
A section of the Immigration and Nationality Act used by consular officers to temporarily refuse a visa pending further administrative processing.
RFE
Request for Evidence; a notice issued by USCIS when documentation is insufficient to establish eligibility for a benefit.
Weighted Selection
A reform shifting the H-1B lottery from random selection to one prioritizing applicants based on salary or skill level.
Advance Parole
Permission for certain non-citizens to re-enter the U.S. after traveling abroad without jeopardizing their pending status.
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