Key Differences between March 2026 Visa Bulletin vs February Explained

The March 2026 Visa Bulletin predictions reveal a mixed landscape: while most employment-based and family-sponsored categories remain frozen at their February 2026 levels, a handful of categories show meaningful forward progress. This detailed comparative analysis breaks down every change between the February 2026 Visa Bulletin (official) and the March 2026 Visa Bulletin predictions, covering all […]

Key Differences between March 2026 Visa Bulletin vs February Explained

The March 2026 Visa Bulletin predictions reveal a mixed landscape: while most employment-based and family-sponsored categories remain frozen at their February 2026 levels, a handful of categories show meaningful forward progress. This detailed comparative analysis breaks down every change between the February 2026 Visa Bulletin (official) and the March 2026 Visa Bulletin predictions, covering all employment-based and family-sponsored preference categories across every chargeability area.

The February 2026 Visa Bulletin was published by the Department of State on January 5, 2026 (Volume XI, Number 11). The March 2026 predictions are based on quantitative analysis of the January โ†’ February 2026 movement patterns, with the actual bulletin expected to be released around February 8โ€“12, 2026.

๐Ÿ“‹ Comparative Analysis

February 2026 vs. March 2026 Visa Bulletin: What Changed?

Side-by-side comparison of every employment-based and family-sponsored category. February 2026 data is official (CA/VO: Jan 5, 2026). March 2026 figures are data-driven predictions based on observed movement patterns.

ADVANCING
EB-3 ROW Final Action
+40 days
Jun 1, 2023 โ†’ Jul 11, 2023
ADVANCING
F1 Mexico Final Action
+112 days
Dec 22, 2006 โ†’ Apr 13, 2007
ADVANCING
F2A Filing (All)
+31 days
Jan 22, 2026 โ†’ Feb 22, 2026
EXPIRED
SR (Religious Workers)
Unavailable
Expired Jan 30, 2026 โ€” pending legislation
โ„น๏ธ

How to Read This Comparison

The “Feb 2026” column shows official dates from the Department of State bulletin published January 5, 2026. The “Mar 2026 Pred” column shows predicted dates for March based on observed January โ†’ February movement patterns. “Change” shows the day count difference between the two months. Green rows indicate categories with forward movement.


Employment-Based Final Action Dates: February vs. March 2026

The Final Action Dates chart determines when USCIS or the National Visa Center can make a final decision on your green card application. For March 2026, the only employment-based category predicted to advance is EB-3 for All Other countries, Mexico, and Philippines โ€” moving forward by 40 days. All other employment-based categories remain frozen at their February 2026 levels.

Category Country Feb 2026 (Official) Mar 2026 (Predicted) Change
EB-1 All Other Current Current No change
China Feb 1, 2023 Feb 1, 2023 0 days
India Feb 1, 2023 Feb 1, 2023 0 days
Mexico Current Current No change
Philippines Current Current No change
EB-2 All Other Apr 1, 2024 Apr 1, 2024 0 days
China Sep 1, 2021 Sep 1, 2021 0 days
India Jul 15, 2013 Jul 15, 2013 0 days
Mexico Apr 1, 2024 Apr 1, 2024 0 days
Philippines Apr 1, 2024 Apr 1, 2024 0 days
EB-3 All Other Jun 1, 2023 Jul 11, 2023 +40 days
China May 1, 2021 May 1, 2021 0 days
India Nov 15, 2013 Nov 15, 2013 0 days
Mexico Jun 1, 2023 Jul 11, 2023 +40 days
Philippines Jun 1, 2023 Jul 11, 2023 +40 days
Other Workers All Other Sep 1, 2021 Sep 1, 2021 0 days
China Dec 8, 2018 Dec 8, 2018 0 days
India Nov 15, 2013 Nov 15, 2013 0 days
Mexico Sep 1, 2021 Sep 1, 2021 0 days
Philippines Sep 1, 2021 Sep 1, 2021 0 days
EB-4 All Countries Jan 1, 2021 Jan 1, 2021 0 days
SR (Religious) All Countries Unavailable Unavailable Expired
EB-5 Unreserved All Other Current Current No change
China Aug 15, 2016 Aug 15, 2016 0 days
India May 1, 2022 May 1, 2022 0 days
Mexico Current Current No change
Philippines Current Current No change
โœ…

EB-5 Set-Aside Categories: No Change

All EB-5 Set-Aside categories โ€” Rural (20%), High Unemployment (10%), and Infrastructure (2%) โ€” remain Current for all countries in both February and March 2026. There is no backlog for these categories.


Employment-Based Dates for Filing: February vs. March 2026

The Dates for Filing chart determines when applicants can submit their initial I-485 adjustment of status application or DS-260 immigrant visa application. Note that USCIS must authorize use of this chart each month โ€” always check uscis.gov/visabulletininfo for the current month’s determination. The biggest mover here is EB-3 for All Other/Mexico/Philippines, predicted to advance 92 days.

Category Country Feb 2026 (Official) Mar 2026 (Predicted) Change
EB-1 All Other Current Current No change
China Aug 1, 2023 Aug 1, 2023 0 days
India Aug 1, 2023 Aug 1, 2023 0 days
Mexico Current Current No change
Philippines Current Current No change
EB-2 All Other Oct 15, 2024 Oct 15, 2024 0 days
China Jan 1, 2022 Jan 1, 2022 0 days
India Dec 1, 2013 Dec 1, 2013 0 days
Mexico Oct 15, 2024 Oct 15, 2024 0 days
Philippines Oct 15, 2024 Oct 15, 2024 0 days
EB-3 All Other Oct 1, 2023 Jan 1, 2024 +92 days
China Jan 1, 2022 Jan 1, 2022 0 days
India Aug 15, 2014 Aug 15, 2014 0 days
Mexico Oct 1, 2023 Jan 1, 2024 +92 days
Philippines Oct 1, 2023 Jan 1, 2024 +92 days
Other Workers All Other Dec 1, 2021 Dec 1, 2021 0 days
China Oct 1, 2019 Oct 1, 2019 0 days
India Aug 15, 2014 Aug 15, 2014 0 days
Mexico Dec 1, 2021 Dec 1, 2021 0 days
Philippines Dec 1, 2021 Dec 1, 2021 0 days
EB-4 All Countries Mar 15, 2021 Mar 15, 2021 0 days
SR (Religious) All Countries Unavailable Unavailable Expired
EB-5 Unreserved All Other Current Current No change
China Aug 22, 2016 Aug 22, 2016 0 days
India May 1, 2024 May 1, 2024 0 days
Mexico Current Current No change
Philippines Current Current No change

India & China: Country-Specific EB Comparison

Indian and Chinese applicants face continued stagnation across all employment-based categories between February and March 2026. No movement is expected in either the Final Action Dates or the Dates for Filing charts. This is typical for mid-fiscal year, when the Department of State conserves visa numbers to avoid exceeding annual limits.

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India: Feb โ†’ Mar Comparison

EB-1 Final Action Feb 1, 2023 โ†’ Feb 1, 2023
EB-2 Final Action Jul 15, 2013 โ†’ Jul 15, 2013
EB-3 Final Action Nov 15, 2013 โ†’ Nov 15, 2013
EB-2 Filing Dec 1, 2013 โ†’ Dec 1, 2013
EB-3 Filing Aug 15, 2014 โ†’ Aug 15, 2014
EB-5 Final Action May 1, 2022 โ†’ May 1, 2022

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China: Feb โ†’ Mar Comparison

EB-1 Final Action Feb 1, 2023 โ†’ Feb 1, 2023
EB-2 Final Action Sep 1, 2021 โ†’ Sep 1, 2021
EB-3 Final Action May 1, 2021 โ†’ May 1, 2021
EB-2 Filing Jan 1, 2022 โ†’ Jan 1, 2022
EB-3 Filing Jan 1, 2022 โ†’ Jan 1, 2022
EB-5 Final Action Aug 15, 2016 โ†’ Aug 15, 2016
โš ๏ธ

India EB-2 vs EB-3 Gap: Only 4 Months

The Final Action Date gap between EB-2 India (Jul 15, 2013) and EB-3 India (Nov 15, 2013) remains just 123 days (approximately 4 months) in both February and March 2026. Downgrading from EB-2 to EB-3 only benefits applicants with a priority date between July 15, 2013 and November 15, 2013.


Family-Sponsored Final Action Dates: February vs. March 2026

Family-sponsored categories show the most movement concentrated in Mexico-specific categories. F1 Mexico is predicted to advance by 112 days โ€” the largest single-category movement in this comparison. F2B Mexico also advances significantly at 92 days. All other family-sponsored categories and countries remain frozen between the two months.

Category Country Feb 2026 (Official) Mar 2026 (Predicted) Change
F1 All Other Nov 8, 2016 Nov 8, 2016 0 days
China Nov 8, 2016 Nov 8, 2016 0 days
India Nov 8, 2016 Nov 8, 2016 0 days
Mexico Dec 22, 2006 Apr 13, 2007 +112 days
Philippines Mar 1, 2013 Mar 1, 2013 0 days
F2A All Other Feb 1, 2024 Feb 1, 2024 0 days
China Feb 1, 2024 Feb 1, 2024 0 days
India Feb 1, 2024 Feb 1, 2024 0 days
Mexico Feb 1, 2023 Feb 1, 2023 0 days
Philippines Feb 1, 2024 Feb 1, 2024 0 days
F2B All Other Dec 1, 2016 Dec 1, 2016 0 days
China Dec 1, 2016 Dec 1, 2016 0 days
India Dec 1, 2016 Dec 1, 2016 0 days
Mexico Feb 15, 2009 May 18, 2009 +92 days
Philippines Dec 22, 2012 Dec 22, 2012 0 days
F3 All Other Sep 8, 2011 Sep 8, 2011 0 days
China Sep 8, 2011 Sep 8, 2011 0 days
India Sep 8, 2011 Sep 8, 2011 0 days
Mexico May 1, 2001 May 1, 2001 0 days
Philippines Jul 22, 2006 Jul 22, 2006 0 days
F4 All Other Jan 8, 2008 Jan 8, 2008 0 days
China Mar 1, 2005 Mar 1, 2005 0 days
India Jan 8, 2008 Jan 8, 2008 0 days
Mexico Nov 1, 2006 Nov 1, 2006 0 days
Philippines Apr 8, 2001 Apr 8, 2001 0 days

Family-Sponsored Dates for Filing: February vs. March 2026

The Dates for Filing chart for family-sponsored categories shows three key movements between February and March 2026. F2A (all countries) continues its steady monthly advancement, while Mexico-specific categories in F1 and F2B show strong forward progress.

Category Country Feb 2026 (Official) Mar 2026 (Predicted) Change
F1 All Other / China / India Sep 1, 2017 Sep 1, 2017 0 days
Mexico Dec 1, 2007 Mar 2, 2008 +91 days
Philippines Apr 22, 2015 Apr 22, 2015 0 days
F2A All Countries Jan 22, 2026 Feb 22, 2026 +31 days
F2B All Other / China / India / Phil Mar 15, 2017 Mar 15, 2017 0 days
Mexico Feb 15, 2010 May 18, 2010 +92 days
F3 All Other / China / India Jul 22, 2012 Jul 22, 2012 0 days
Mexico Oct 1, 2013 Oct 1, 2013 0 days
Philippines Jan 15, 2008 Jan 15, 2008 0 days
F4 All Other / India Mar 1, 2009 Mar 1, 2009 0 days
China Feb 1, 2006 Feb 1, 2006 0 days
Mexico Dec 15, 2006 Dec 15, 2006 0 days
Philippines Apr 30, 2001 Apr 30, 2001 0 days
๐Ÿ’ก

F2A Filing Date Approaching Current Date

The F2A Dates for Filing is predicted to advance to February 22, 2026 for March โ€” meaning this date is nearly current. Spouses and minor children of permanent residents who recently filed I-130 petitions should monitor this category closely, as it may become “Current” in the coming months.


Religious Workers (SR) Category: Status Update

The Employment Fourth Preference Certain Religious Workers (SR) category expired on January 30, 2026 under H.R. 5371. This category appeared as “Unavailable” in the February 2026 bulletin and is expected to remain Unavailable in March 2026 unless Congress passes new extension legislation.

๐Ÿšจ

SR Category Remains Expired

The SR category expired January 30, 2026. No SR visas may be issued overseas, and no final action may be taken on adjustment of status cases. Both the February 2026 bulletin and the March 2026 predictions list this category as “Unavailable” for all countries. If Congress extends the program, the category would immediately become available with the same dates as EB-4 (currently Jan 1, 2021 for Final Action).


Diversity Visa (DV-2026): February vs. March Cut-Offs

The February 2026 Visa Bulletin published the official DV-2026 cut-off numbers for both February and March. These are confirmed figures from the Department of State. Most regions held steady between February and March, with small increases in a few categories.

Region Feb 2026 (Official) Mar 2026 (Official) Change
AFRICA 45,000 45,000 No change
โ€” Algeria (except) 37,000 37,000 No change
โ€” Egypt (except) 21,000 22,250 +1,250
ASIA 30,000 30,000 No change
โ€” Nepal (except) 6,500 6,500 No change
EUROPE 11,000 11,000 No change
NORTH AMERICA (Bahamas) 25 30 +5
OCEANIA 1,175 1,200 +25
SOUTH AMERICA & CARIBBEAN 2,000 2,100 +100
โฐ

DV-2026 Deadline Reminder

All DV-2026 visas must be used by September 30, 2026. Diversity visa availability cannot be taken for granted โ€” numbers could be exhausted before the fiscal year ends. DV-2026 selectees should complete their processing as soon as their case number becomes current.


Complete Summary: All Changes at a Glance

Out of all the categories and country combinations tracked across both the Final Action Dates and Dates for Filing charts, only a small number show movement between February and March 2026. The vast majority of categories remain completely frozen. Here is a consolidated view of every category that changed.

๐Ÿ“Š February โ†’ March 2026: By the Numbers

Categories Advancing

8 category/country pairs

Categories Frozen

~80+ category/country pairs

Categories Expired

1 (SR Religious Workers)

All Advancing Categories (Feb โ†’ Mar 2026)

Category Chart Type Country Feb 2026 Mar 2026 Pred Movement
F1 Final Action Mexico Dec 22, 2006 Apr 13, 2007 +112 days
EB-3 Filing ROW / Mexico / Philippines Oct 1, 2023 Jan 1, 2024 +92 days
F2B Final Action Mexico Feb 15, 2009 May 18, 2009 +92 days
F2B Filing Mexico Feb 15, 2010 May 18, 2010 +92 days
F1 Filing Mexico Dec 1, 2007 Mar 2, 2008 +91 days
EB-3 Final Action ROW / Mexico / Philippines Jun 1, 2023 Jul 11, 2023 +40 days
F2A Filing All Countries Jan 22, 2026 Feb 22, 2026 +31 days
๐Ÿ“Œ

What This Means for Applicants

If your category is advancing: Ensure your documentation is ready. For EB-3 ROW applicants with priority dates before July 11, 2023 โ€” your case may become eligible for final action in March. For Mexico family-sponsored applicants โ€” check if your priority date now falls before the new cutoff dates.

If your category is frozen: No immediate action is needed. Mid-fiscal-year stagnation is normal. The Department of State typically accelerates dates in the summer months (Julyโ€“September) to use remaining visa numbers before fiscal year end.

๐Ÿ“š Official Sources & References

  • February 2026 Visa Bulletin: Volume XI, Number 11 (CA/VO: January 5, 2026) โ€” U.S. Department of State
  • March 2026 Visa Bulletin Predictions โ€” Based on quantitative analysis of January โ†’ February 2026 movement patterns
  • USCIS Visa Availability and Priority Dates
  • H.R. 5371 โ€” Employment Fourth Preference Certain Religious Workers (SR) category extension (expired January 30, 2026)

Disclaimer: The February 2026 data in this analysis is from the official U.S. Department of State Visa Bulletin (Volume XI, Number 11, CA/VO: January 5, 2026). March 2026 figures are predictions based on quantitative analysis and may differ from the actual March bulletin. The actual March 2026 Visa Bulletin is expected to be released around February 8โ€“12, 2026. Always verify current visa availability on the official Department of State website. This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute legal advice.

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